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Wednesday, December 5, 2007

Pound and Euro move in lockstep

In recent years, the British Pound and the Euro have begun to converge in value, so much so that both currencies have traded within 5% of each other for almost a year now. There are a couple of explanations for this trend. First, the relationship between the Pound and the Euro are largely symbolic. Perhaps, investors are grouping the two currencies together because of some perceived economic and/or political similarities. Second, it seems that all of the currencies that are supported by any semblance of sound economic fundamentals have risen against the USD, so it is possible that the Pound-Euro convergence is simply the result of both currencies simultaneously appreciating against the USD. Monetary policy and economic cycles are not aligned in Europe and Britain, so it doesn’t seem this link has any strong fundamental basis. Whatever the reason, in all aspects except for in name, the Pound has officially been absorbed into the Euro. The Financial Times reports:

From the euro’s launch in January 1999 until 2003, the pound initially traded in a wide 21.1 per cent range against the euro. Since then, volatility has been significantly reduced with the trading range falling to 8.6 per cent in 2004 and 7.1 in 2005.

China’s forex reserves near $1 trillion

China’s foreign exchange reserves may soon surpass the mystical threshold of $1 trillion. This month, they soared to $950 Billion, as China’s current account surplus was promptly reinvested in foreign securities. If China allowed the new Yuan to circulate in the money supply, the result would be double-digit inflation. Instead, China holds all of the surplus yuan in the form of foreign currency, a habit which exerts severe upward pressure on the yuan and may soon overwhelm China’s monetary system to the point where it has no choice but to allow the yuan to appreciate. China Daily reports:

“We will take comprehensive measures to avoid further significant growth in the foreign exchange reserves,” said the vice president of China’s Central Bank

Trade data supports Yuan appreciation

That the balance of trade between the US and China is becoming more and more lopsided in favor of China should come as no surprise to anyone. In fact, economists yawned when the August trade data revealed a 33% jump in the Chinese trade surplus. As a result, many are beginning to argue that China can allow the Yuan to appreciate at a faster pace against the Dollar, since it is obvious that China’s export sector will not be materially affected by a stronger Yuan. In addition, China now exports more goods and services to the EU than to America, yet another statistic which supports the notion that China can allow its currency to appreciate against the Dollar (the implication here being that the Euro-Yuan exchange rate should be more important to China at this point). Finally, China’s inflation rate is now hovering around 6.5%, its highest level in over a decade. A more valuable Yuan would presumably make imports less expensive, thus lowering prices across the board for Chinese consumers. Bloomberg News reports:

The Chinese currency is selling for about 7.51 to the dollar. It has risen almost 6 percent against the U.S. currency in the past year while falling more than 3 percent against the euro, leaving the overall competitiveness of China's exports little changed.

Sunday, November 11, 2007

WHAT IS FOREX CURRENCY TRADING?

If you read about investing, you've seen the word forex trading. But because forex doesn't get much publicity in the major publications and websites, many investors don't know that forex is just short for "foreign exchange". So trading the forex market is simply trading foreign currencies.

As recently as ten years ago, currency trading had high barriers to entry, so only large banking and institutional firms had access to the tools and systems required to play in the forex trading game. Recently, however, technology has developed to the point that any individual investor can hop right in and trade with one of the many online platforms.

When buying and selling in the forex currency trading system market, you'll see that there are four "currency pairs" that dominate the percentage of trades. Those four are the Euro vs U.S. Dollar, US Dollar vs Japanese Yen, US Dollar vs Swiss Franc, and US Dollar vs British Pound.

The goal when investing in currency is to be holding a currency that appreciates in value in relation to the other currencies. To use an overly simplistic example, if you bought 50 British Pounds for 100 US Dollars, held the Pounds for 1 week, and in that period the value of Pounds increased in relation to US Dollars, you could then convert those Pounds back into dollars for, say, $120.

Unlike the domestic stock markets, the forex currency trading is open for trades 24 hours a day. Much like the phrase "it's always noon somewhere," it's always business hours at some region of the globe. Since every country trades on the FX market, and it's open all day, the daily volume is roughly $1.2 trillion, which dwarfs that of the NYSE. Another comparison to make in order to truly realize the magnitude of the forex market is with the currency futures market (which has around 1% of the daily volume).

One other important distinction to make is that forex currency trading is not centered on an exchange like the NYSE or NASDAQ. There is no central body or organization required to act as middleman. Trading circulates between major banking centers around the world.

Until recently, there were strict financial requirements and massive minimum transaction sizes which prevented individual investors from trading. But with the advent of the internet came the FX brokers. A forex currency broker is similar to an online stock trading account such as etrade.

Anybody can open an account and buy and sell in any quantity. Because the brokers have thousands of investors placing orders through them, they are able to meet the large minimum transaction size by purchasing in large blocks and distributing currency amongst the purchasing investors.

Although it is now easy to start trading forex, it is a complicated and complex market. While it offers fantastic opportunity for wealth, it is also very easy to lose your shirt in a hurry. Before trading forex, do your homework and read as much as you can find before investing your hard earned money.

FAQ of forex

Is there a central location for the Forex Market?
Forex trading is not managed through an exchange. Since transactions are conducted between two counterparts, the FX market is an “inter-bank,” or over the counter (OTC) market.

Who participates in the FX market?
Central, commercial and investment banks have traditionally dominated the Forex market. Other market participation is rapidly increasing, and now includes international money managers and brokers, multinational corporations, registered dealers, options and futures traders, and private investors.

When is the FX market open for trading?
Forex is a true global 24-hour marketplace. The trading day begins in Sydney, and moves around the globe as each financial center comes to life. Tokyo follows, then London, and finally New York. Investors can respond in real time to any fluctuations caused by current economic, social and political events.

What are the most common currencies in the Forex markets?
The most “liquid” currencies in the Forex market are those of countries with low inflation, stable governments, and respected central banks. Nearly 85% of daily transactions involve the major currencies, including the U.S. Dollar, Japanese Yen, the European Union Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, and the Canadian and Australian Dollars.

Is is capital intensive to trade forex?
Forex Capital Management requires a minimum deposit of $300 to open a Mini Account and $2000 for a regular account. Your relationship with Forex Capital Management enables you to conduct highly leveraged trades (as much as a 200 to 1 leverage ration in the Mini Account.) You set the degree of leverage that you wish to deploy. Unless otherwise specified, your leverage level is set at the most lenient level required by your account size. Please remember that while this degree of leverage enables you to maximize your profit potential, there is an equally great potential for loss.

What is Margin?
Margin is a performance bond that insures against trading losses. Margin requirements in the FX marketplace allow you to hold positions much larger than the asset value of your account. Trading with Forex Capital Management includes a pre-trade check for margin availability, the trade is executed only if there are sufficient margin funds in your account. The Forex Capital Management trading system calculates cash on hand necessary to cover current positions, and provides this information to you in real time. If funds in your account fall below margin requirements, the system will close all open positions. This prevents your account from falling below your available equity, which is a key protection in this volatile, fast moving marketplace.

What are “short” and “long” positions?
Short positions are taken when a trader sells currency in anticipation of a downturn in price. Making this move allows the investor to benefit from a decline. Long positions are taken when a trader buys a currency at a low price in anticipation of selling it later for more. Making these moves allows the investor to benefit from changing market prices. Remember! Since currencies are traded in pairs, every forex position inevitably requires the investor to go short in one currency and long in the other.

What is the difference between an "intraday" and "overnight position"?
Intraday positions are all positions opened anytime during the 24 hour period AFTER the close of Forex Capital’s normal trading hours at 5:00pm EST. Overnight positions are positions that are still on at the end of normal trading hours (5:00pm EST), which are automatically rolled by Forex Capital Management.

How is pricing determined for certain currencies?
The full range of economic and political conditions impact currency pricing. It is generally held that interest rates, inflation rates and political stability are top among important factors. At times, governments participate in the forex market in order to influence the traded value of their currencies. These and other market factors such as very large orders can cause extreme relative volatility in currency prices. The sheer size of the forex market prevents any single factor from dominating the market for any length of time.

How can I manage risk?
The most common risk management tools in Forex trading are the stop-loss order and the limit order. The stop-loss order directs that a position be automatically liquidated at a certain price in order to guard against dramatic changes against the position. A limit order sets the maximum price that the investor is willing to pay in a transaction, as well as a minimum price to be received in exchange. The foreign exchange marketplace is so liquid that it is easy to execute stop-loss and limit orders. Forex Capital Management guarantees execution of stop-loss and limit orders at the specified price on orders up to US$1 million.

What trading strategy should I use?
Both economic fundamentals and technical factors influence the decisions of currency traders. Those who follow economic fundamentals use government issued reports, current news, and broad economic trends to anticipate movements in price. Technical traders rely on trend lines, support and resistance levels, and a variety of charts and mathematical analysis to identify trading opportunities. Over time, the most significant price movements occur in close association with unexpected events. Perhaps the central bank changes rates without warning, or an election puts an unexpected candidate in power. News from conflicts certainly impacts currency pricing. More often than not, it is the expectation of a certain event rather than the actual event that drives price pressures.

How often can trades be made?
As one might expect, trading activity on any particular day is dictated by current market conditions. Some small to medium size traders might make as many as 10 transactions in a day. By not charging commission and offering tight spreads, Forex Capital Management investors can take positions as often as is necessary without concern for excessive transaction costs.

How long should a position be maintained?
Forex traders generally hold positions until one of three criteria is met:
1. A sufficient profit has been realized from the position.
2. A pre-set stop-loss order is triggered.
3. A better potential position emerges and the trader needs to liquidate funds to take advantage of it.

How do margin calls work?
A margin call is generated when the equity balance in an account drops below the margin requirement for that size account. If the maximum allowable leverage has been exceeded, any open positions are immediately liquidated, regardless of the nature or size of the positions.

Posted by Forex trading at 1:49 AM 0 comments



Pace Capital Group offers the benefits of Foreign Currency Trading with a Managed Forex Account controlled by the Client.

Pace Capital Group offers the retail investor complete control over the disversification of his or her Managed Forex Trading Account.

Forex is the name given to the "direct access" trading of foreign currencies. With an average daily volume of $1.5 trillion, the Forex far exceeds the $30 billion daily turnover by the New York Stock Exchange and is 46 times larger than all the futures markets combined. For these reasons, the Forex is the world's largest and most liquid market.

By offering 2 separate Forex Currency Trading Systems each with their own level of exposure to the market and a multitude of Percent Allocated Combinations, the Investor can now Design, Monitor, and Adjust their own personal level of aggressiveness.

Whether you're a single individual seeking a more aggressive approach or a retired couple looking to stimulate your IRA investment, Pace Capital Group can provide the proper account allocation to suit your personal investment needs.

Key Benefits of Investing With Pace Capital Group:


Consistent Returns
Excellent Customer Service
Global Network of Clients
Bi-Monthly Conference Calls
IRA

Key Benefits of Investing With Pace Capital Group:


Consistent Returns
Excellent Customer Service
Global Network of Clients
Bi-Monthly Conference Calls
IRA Investment Options
Client Regulated Diversification
24 Hour Direct Account Access
Broker With $350 Million Total Assets
Better Business Bureau Member
22 Years of Market Experience

FOREX forecast

The biggest number of participants and the largest volumes of transactions;
* Superior liquidity and speed of the market: transactions are conducted within a few seconds according to online quotes;
* The market works 24 hours a day, every working days;
* A trader can open a position for any period of time he wants;
* No fees, except for the difference between buying and selling prices;
* An opportunity to get a bigger profit that the invested sum;
* Qualified work in the FOREX market can become your main professional activity;
* You can make deals any time you like

FOREX forecast

The biggest number of participants and the largest volumes of transactions;
* Superior liquidity and speed of the market: transactions are conducted within a few seconds according to online quotes;
* The market works 24 hours a day, every working days;
* A trader can open a position for any period of time he wants;
* No fees, except for the difference between buying and selling prices;
* An opportunity to get a bigger profit that the invested sum;
* Qualified work in the FOREX market can become your main professional activity;
* You can make deals any time you like